Retirement Advice for Uncertain Times

Maintain a Steady Keel

If you are at the outset of your retirement and are counting on your savings for income, you may be a bit disconcerted about the economy and seek some retirement planning advice. A dipping stock market and housing market, rising crude prices, and the government’s refusal to make meaningful moves, make fears of another recession real and have you worried. What you do not want to do is panic – especially in your investment approach.

A Panic Move

There are some who will pull all their equity investments and put them into a money market fund or CDs. They do not want to lose any of their previous years’ gains or, at least, any more than they have to this point.  They plan to live off their money market interest and count the time until equities begin to rise – perhaps after declining. Unfortunately, neither they nor I know when the worst will occur. That’s acting like a speculator which is only for day traders and specialists.  This is not good retirement planning advice to be short term oriented.

At 65 years old, you have n additional life expectancy of twenty one years. That gives a lot of time for inflation to undermine the dollar’s value. Inflation will cut sharply into the value of your nest egg – and its yearly returns if you are completely invested in CDs and money market funds.  Better retirement planning advice is to have a long term view consistent with a 21 year life expectancy.

A Better Plan

After setting aside one year’s living expenses in a money market fund, split the balance of your nest egg equally between income and stock market investments. You require those income investments to generate some of your retirement income. Choose a good income generating mutual fund or buy some bonds (more about the differences of individual bonds and bond funds in a later post). Be sure to ladder your bonds (i.e. some for 2 year maturity, some 4 years, some 6 years and so on)  so that you can take advantage of rising interest rates over the next few years as the shorter term bonds mature. Laddering will likely smooth out your bond income from interest rate gyrations that may occur.

Do your preparation on your equity investments.  Look for stocks or mutual funds that have a history of increase in good times and hold their value in bad (Fortune magazine does an annual ranking of such funds). It is your equity investments that should offset inflation to maintain the overall value of your retirement funds. Be sure to allocate your equity investments so all your eggs are not in the same basket under any economic outcome (i.e. diversify among several industries).  Note that mutual funds and stocks are open to risks, including the potential for principal loss but the best retirement advice is to maintain a long term perspective and not react to anything you see or hear on TV or what the market did this week.

Now sit tight and be frugal. Make use of savings tips to stretch your money. Be sure to re-balance your long term investments annually (so that you have half in income/bond investments and half in equities/equity funds) and maintain your ‘12 month’ living expense fund refilled.  You’ll be around for at least 2 decades after retirement so take some good retirement advice and plan your portfolio for the same long time horizon.

For financial advisors seeking tips on how to help clients and maintain their business during an uncertain economy:

Annuity Leads
Lead Generation
ProspectMatch
Prospecting System

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Learn Investing–Ask Your Kids

Your kids are likely far better investors than you.  The seek to learn investing on their own so as to avoid the dependence and fees of using a professional.

Young millionaires disparage the value of financial advisors per a recent study by Spectrem Group.  The study summarizes that millionaires under the age of 45 prefer self-directed investing and they believe the services of professional advisors to be over-priced.

The study polled three different age groups: age 41 to 45, 35 to 40, and under 35. The youngest group was most against using a financial advisor; 58% of respondents between ages 41 and 45 found the offerings of a financial advisor too expensive while an overwhelming 74% of those under age 35 felt advisors were over-priced.

Younger investors find the financial information they need on the Internet, according to Spectrem.  This means they are self-confident, self-taught and self-learners.  These are the traits needed for learning to invest well.

The thing that young millionaires have in common is that they are self-learners.  They know that they can easily learn investing from the Internet, magazines and books what any financial advisor can tell them.  Rather than pay someone to lose their money, these young success stories realize they can learn to invest on their own and have no one to blame for results.  And they can do so without paying fees.

They know that from the plethora investment choices, there are only two: stocks and bonds.  Every other product is just some combination or derivartive of stocks and bonds with a 70-page prospectus hiding fees so that the brokerage firms can take you to the cleaners.  If you do a little reading (yes, read the prospectus), you will learn how many fees are buried in the products maufactured by Wall Street and you will realize that all of these products are simply some version of stocks or bonds.  Learning about investing is simply reading.

It’s unfortunate, but of all financial advisors, brokers/wealth managers, whatever you want to call them (or they call themselves), maybe 10% to 15% can do anything of value for you.  The rest are just salesman of products they don’t even understand.  They have never read the prospectus for the junk they sell or understand if it’s even good for you.  If you want the best results, learn investing and take your investment education into your own hands.

Your kids have learned about investing and know that it’s probabaly best to do their own.  A good lesson.

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China Investing for the Retired Investor

You may be curious as to how you can invest in China and also worried about doing so.  You of course hear about the real estate bubble in China and of course are worried about investing in a communist country.  You also know that fast growth markets are subject to high volatility in their economies.  But on the other hand, you know that China just passed Japan as the 2nd largest economy in the world and how long will it take until China surpasses the US?  You want a piece of the Chinese investing action.

Here’s a way to invest in Chinese growth that may make some retired or conservative investors feel better. The following three US companies have placed big investment in China and you can bet along with them:

  • McDonalds opened 136 stores in China last year
  • Yum! Brands (parent of KFC and Pizza Hut) opened 80 stores and reported sales growth of 11% (compared to no growth in the US)
  • Walmart has more than 50 stores in China (and purchases $27 billion of Chinese goods for all of its stores, worldwide)

Although Chinese operations are a small part of these very large company’s portfolios, China will be a rapidly growing portion of these companies and allow investors to bet along side firms that have established themselves as shrewd investors.

Consider that while the US form of capitalism was a leading model for growth in the 20th century, our model may be outdated.  It seems like our politicians are lost and America is adrift, both politically and economically. The new “winning model” appears to be the model used in China–a centralized yet benign governing model. The government can make decisions quickly, does not waste time on debate and if it maintains a benign outlook on its population, may well have capitalized the winning model of the 21st century.

Advisors seeking new clients ProspectMatch

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FINRA Fines

The Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA) is the largest independent regulator for all securities firms doing business in the United States. All told, FINRA oversees nearly 4,700 brokerage firms, about 167,000 branch offices and approximately 635,000 registered securities representatives.  Their job is to protect you, the investor, that you have a safe place to invest.  How well are they dong?

I did a Google search on “FINRA fines” and here’s what i found from the first two pages (there were 143,000 total results):

Finra Fines Deutsche Bank $7.5M In Subprime Case‎

FINRA Fines SunTrust $1.4M for Unsuitable Trades‎ -

FINRA Fines Terra Nova Financial $400000

Finra Fines Phoenix Derivatives, Others a Combined $4.3M – WSJ.com

FINRA fines Citigroup for supervisory violations  $1.5 million fine …

FINRA Fines Double In 2009 – Representing Investors – Blog Archive

FINRA Fines Morgan Stanley, Other Firms – On Wall Street

FINRA Fines H&R Block Financial Advisors for Inadequate …

FINRA Fines Citigroup $600000 for Failing to Supervise Trading …

FINRA Fines MetLife Securities, Affiliates – ABC News

The above is all fairly recent.  Do these fines against these firms indicate that FINRA is protecting you well OR that if protections were adequate, there would not be so many fines?  You will need to be the judge.

It is clear however, that these firms  (notice that many are large and well known to you) seem to be little interested in your benefit or profit and are complacent to break the rules.  And that’s the point of this post.  Don’t trust anyone in the investment or insurance industry without asking questions. It’s not that you should not trust, a necessary element for a healthy economy, but get all of your questions asked and issues explained to your satisfaction.  Don’t simply take anyone’s word for the facts.  Get the evidence before you invest or buy insurance.

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Invest for Retirement- The Right Way

You mess up your own retirement investing

While it seems that the economy, interest rates or the stock market has much to do with your retirement financial success, your own actions may account for more of your success or lack thereof, then you care to admit.  Morningstar, the well known mutual fund research firm, estimates that investors sacrifice a lot of return by buying and selling at the wring time.

To estimate the impact of poor timing, Morningstar calculates a figure that it calls investor returns. This represents how much the average dollar in a fund actually returns. If investors buy at the peak and sell at the trough, the investor return will be low. In contrast, total returns indicate how much you would have gotten if you invested at the beginning of a period and stayed put. To appreciate the importance of investor returns, consider that CGM Mutual returned 4.1 percent annually during the decade ending in May. But individual investors, because they bought at peaks and sold at troughs, the investor return for the fund was only 2.6 percent.

So in the above example of CGM mutual, investors would have had 57% more return had they not traded and just held the fund.  People trade too often and make these timing mistakes for two reasons:

1. Investors (you) get too much useless information–they listen to CNBC, read the Wall Street Journal, listen to their friends opinions and act on all of this information while it should all be ignored.  Not only is ignorance bliss, it can make you money.  Realize that all of this input is OPINION, not fact, and there are no “experts” in the financial arena (okay, maybe we can call warren Buffet an expert) .  While these people who position themselves as experts may have years of experience or degrees from great schools, they cannot forecast the future any better then you.

2. Investors (you) react emotionally.  Even if investors attended only to the facts such as unemployment data, trade flows, currency exchange rates and other hard data, they don’t have any system or model for their decisions and will buy or sell based on how they feel.  Using emotions to make investment decisions will make you poor

If you would like a comfortable retirement, reduce or eliminate your exposure to financial opinions. Additionally, if you receive any factual economic information, wait 48 hours before you make any financial decision. Last, never look at the direction of the market to influence your decisions.

Get the Retirement Financial Guide to keep you on course
(click on the graphic below)

Financial Advisors who seek to help retirees with sound decisions: ProspectMatch

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Rollover IRA to Meet Your Retirement Goals

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A rollover IRA is a retirement account that you can use to consolidate the funds you’ve set aside in various other retirement accounts. Bringing your funds together can give you access to a wider range of investment options and will make the management of your investments much easier. This way, if your retirement savings goals change, you can change the strategy for the management of your money quickly and easily. And make no mistake – your goals will change as your life changes.

A rollover IRA is also known as a target IRA by most financial professionals. What this means for you is that this is the IRA where your money is going to wind up – regardless of where it came from, it’s the target or destination of the IRA rollover. Be aware when you’re considering a rollover IRA that some types of IRAs can’t accept funds from other types of IRAs. Therefore, you’ll want to choose a rollover IRA that is of a type that can accept money from all of your old accounts (or, if not all, at least the majority of them).

If you haven’t already, this would be an ideal time to enlist the services of a financial professional. Many of the current IRA rollover rules can be very complex, and simple missteps in the IRA rollover process can lead to significant costs, in terms of unnecessary taxes, fees or penalties. This really isn’t an arena that you’ll want to walk into by yourself.

Once you’ve determined the type of rollover IRA to set up, the next thing to remember is that in almost every instance, you want to request an IRA direct rollover. As the name implies, this type of transfer occurs when money is moved directly from the administrator of one account to the administrator of the other. The money never comes into your hands. This is vital to protect the tax status of the money you’ve accumulated thus far. Once you take possession of your money, it can be classified as a withdrawal or a distribution. In that instant, you are subject to mandatory withholding – usually 20% of your account balance – as well as taxes and penalties.

To initiate an IRA direct rollover, contact the administrator of your target IRA and tell him or her to perform an IRA direct rollover; use those exact words. This will begin a legally defined process whereby the administrator of the target IRA will contact his or her counterpart at the old IRA and arrange for the transfer the money, typically using a check or a wire transfer. There will be some paperwork associated with this, but the administrator will be able to help with any questions you may have.

Following these simple rules, you’ll be able to use the rollover IRA process to both consolidate your funds and maximize your control over them. This way, as changes in your life necessitate changes in your retirement goals and strategies, you’ll have easier access to your retirement money to make those changes.

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Senior Investment Newsletter Provides Fresh Retirement Advice Each Month

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Receive 12 monthly issues of the SeniorFinances Newsletter. Here is a small sample of articles that have appeared:
  • Social Security Benefits How To Get A Bigger Check
  • If You Can Save In Retirement Put It Where It’ll Count
  • Eight Ways To Generate Supplemental Retirement Income Without Special Skills
  • The Best Ways To Take Charge Of Your Retirement Income And Expenses
  • A New Type Of Trust May Be Able To Solve Many Estate Planning Problems
  • How To Get Income From An Old Life Insurance Policy
  • Refinance Your Rental Property For More Retirement Income
  • Annuities That Help You Qualify For Medicaid
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The Cost of Your 401k Plan After Retirement

There can be no question that saving for your own retirement is a financially sound and important thing for you to do, and one of the most common and popular methods of doing this is by investing in a 401K plan at your place of work. But what you may not know is that not all 401K plans are the same.

If you are like many people in the United States, the chances are that you have had several jobs over your working life and, as a result, still have a number of 401K plans with different former employers. Or perhaps you have recently retired, but are not yet ready to cash in your 401K plan(s). Whatever your individual circumstances may be, you should be aware that your 401K plans could actually be costing you money.

Under the current laws, not only are the companies administering your 401K allowed to charge maintenance and service fees, but they are also not required to inform you what those maintenance and services fees are. Some insurance companies and stock brokerage houses are charging as much as 4% or 5% per year off the top for the plans they administer, which can significantly decrease the annual yield and value of your plan. (There are also fees and charges associated with maintaining IRA accounts, and generally there will be management or transaction fees associated with most products.)

Specific fees that are considered to be “hidden” are:
 Trading costs, commissions between fund managers and brokerage firms
 Soft dollar “excess commissions” paid to brokerages pursuant to Securities
 Exchange Commission (“SEC”) rule 28(e)
 Sub-shareholder (participant) servicing fees – called “sub-transfer agent fees”
 (“Sub-TA”)
 Account distribution (sales) based 12(b)-1 fees
 Account servicing based 12(b)-1 fees
 Unitized variable annuity wrap fees
 Variable annuity mortality costs
 “On-the-fly” pass through fees
 Retail versions of institutional funds (i.e. funds that could be purchased at a lower price but are not, due to fiduciary ignorance)

Unfortunately, managers at many companies have signed on with 401k sponsors and simply do not understand the fees involved.  Since the fees are not paid by the company, bu rather by you and the other participants, they have small motivation to look hard at the fees.  In fact, a study by Spectrem Group showed that most plan sponsors don’t know what they pay. 

So unless you ask and thoroughly read the prospectus and make sure onerous fees are not being levied against your account, it’s best to do an IRA rollover and not leave your funds in a high priced qualified plan.

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Retirement Investing During Deflation

 If a recession becomes severe, dollars may suffer from deflation rather than inflation. This would change the rules you have for retirement investing over the past 30 years. What should retirees consider doing if deflation sets in?

 

We’re familiar with the effects of inflation. Our dollars just don’t buy as much as they used to. Too much ‘easy money’ from too much credit puts more dollars into everyone’s hands so each dollar is worth less than before. So too many dollars are chasing too few goods and the prices of goods are bid up. In this typical inflationary environment, retirement investing rules are to get rid of cash and hold hard assets like real estate.

 

But when recession occurs, everyone becomes afraid of consuming. Businesses feel the pinch and people lose jobs. Government may try to ‘prime the pump’ by offering and instigating low interest rates. That reduces the cost of credit and hopefully to get people to begin borrowing and ‘consuming more’.

 

But if the turn down is too severe, very few people will be enticed to spend money. The money supply actually contracts. The results in a low demand to buy most things and can force prices down. And deflation is the general decrease in the prices of goods. Your dollars are worth more!  Rather than get rid of dollars, you want to own them and convert them selectively to assets that have fallen in value (real estate, stocks, etc).

 

Most retirees have no job to lose. They’re living off Social Security, pensions and their investment earnings. Most of this  retirement income may be fixed income.  Those in such a circumstance can actually benefit from deflation – mostly from the benefit of lower prices for things.

 

But under deflation, dollars become more valuable and debt – i.e. owing a fixed amount of dollars – becomes more of a burden. So retirees should reduce the cost of their debt by reducing payments or restructuring.

 

As deflation sets in you’re paying off debt in more expensive dollars. So any way to reduce the dollars you must commit to debt payments is beneficial.

 

Restructure your debt payments. With recessions comes falling interest rates. Take advantage of lower interest rates to restructure debt payments you can’t pay off quickly.

 

Refinance your home. If you have a mortgage, refinance at lower interest rate to cut your monthly costs – or to pay it off over a reduced time period.

 

Since the value of cash is increasing, holding it will increase your wealth – but only during deflation. Aside from preserving your emergency funds, you’ll want to hold dollars for retirement investment opportunities at low prices.

 

If you do have extra cash, stay aware of overly depressed investment prices and commodity prices (oil and gold)that will recover after the recession ends and present low risk retirement investing opportunities. Real estate investments – especially condos – are a typical case. It may even be worth a small remortgage of your paid off house for some investments (this strategy is not suitable for everyone as any borrowing will incur a fixed payment commitment while the return on investments is not assured).

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What’s Not Taxable of your IRA and 401(k) Distributions?

 

Generally, your IRA and or company 401(k) distributions are taxed as ordinary income. That’s because you funded them with tax-deductible contributions and all the earnings of these contributions have been tax-deferred. So nothing has been taxed. Taking a distribution before turning 59½ will add a 10% penalty tax to the income tax.

Nevertheless, you may have made some ‘after-tax’ contributions to them, and those – not their earnings – will come out tax free. So let’s see how this to handle these.

Taxable and non taxable distributions for company-administered plans such as a 401(k)
This is pretty easy because it’s your employer who is responsible for tracking both your tax deductible and after-tax contributions to the plan. They’ll report those amounts to you, either on your statements or on a 1099-R when you take a distribution from the plan. 

IRA distribution
You’re the administrator of your IRA. So keeping track of after-tax contributions is your job. That’s done on IRS Form 8606 each year you make an after-tax contribution and each year you take an IRA distribution.

This form – each time it’s filed – carries forward the total of prior year after-tax contributions and adds them to any current year contribution. It also formulates the non-taxable portion of any distribution you take in the year. And, of course subtracts out that amount from the total after-tax contributions among your IRAs.  Normally, form 8606 is attached to your tax return. 

The non-taxable portion of your IRA distributionsduring the year is the ratio of all your after-tax contributions (from your latest Form 8606) divided by the total value of your IRAs. No, you don’t get to take out just the ‘tax-free’ part!  Each time you take an IRA distribution, part is taxable, part is return of after tax money (not taxable).

What if you forgot to file your Form 8606 over the years? Just get the form and its instructions; it’ll give you some suggestions on documentation you can use to substantiate your prior after-tax contribution amounts.  If you think the amount of after tax contributions you have forgot to document is significant, then get help form a tax professional so that you don’t need to pay tax twice when you take distributions.

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